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College football picks by Bud Elliott

Every week, Bud Elliott picks spreads and totals across the country. Track those here, along with the status of various futures throughout the year.

All wagers are at -110 odds and for one unit unless otherwise noted. My picks are in bold, with that team’s spread attached.

Season record: 32-37-2 ATS (-$870) | ROI: -11.5%

Beat closing line: Yes 72% | Even 14% | No 14%

I often tell readers that the best bets can be found in the opening lines on Sunday afternoons. Lines tend to be sharper after they’ve been bet all week, so most of my plays are made early in the week. The lines listed below are subject to change during the week.

Of course, if you’re trying to bet thousands of dollars on each game, the low limits (typically $250 to 500 max bets per game) early in the week can be a hindrance, but I’m figuring most of my readership is playing $100 per game or less.

All season win totals wagers are for regular season games only (no conference title games, no bowls).

Because I make these wagers throughout the week, I order them by when they were made. As the season goes on, you’ll be able to find older picks at the bottom of this page.

Rationale for the picks is provided in my weekly Sunday Twitch show, a replay of which will also be available here or below.

Week 4

  • Houston at Tulane -1
  • UL Lafayette +6.5 at Ohio
  • WMU +4 at Syracuse
  • Michigan at Wisconsin -3
  • Toledo -5.5 at Colorado State
  • New Mexico State at New Mexico -3
  • Cal PK at Ole Miss
  • Georgia State at Texas State +1
  • LSU -19 at Vanderbilt
  • Appalachian State +3 at UNC
  • WVU at Kansas +7
  • Oregon -10 at Stanford
  • UCF/Pitt U59.5
  • UConn/Indiana U58
  • Temple/Buffalo U57.5
  • Michigan State/Northwestern U40
  • Troy/Akron O52.5
  • Michigan/Wisconsin U51.5
  • Cal Ole Miss U43.5
  • AppSt/UNC O56.5
  • S.Ala/UAB U49.5
  • Michigan State -5.5 at Northwestern
  • Washington -6 at BYU
  • Auburn +4 at Texas A&M
  • Oklahome State +7.5 (-115) at Texas
  • South Alabama +13 at UAB
  • Baylor -24.5 at Rice

2019 futures picks

  • Blue-Chip Ratio teams (except USC) to win the national title (-2000): A brief explanation here. BetOnline put up odds on one of the Blue Chip Ratio teams (except USC, for an unknown reason) winning the national title, as it has done several times in the past. -2000 is obviously a huge outlay, but I think the true price should be closer to -5000, so it’s a value.
  • Win total matchup: Stanford -0.5 v. Cal (-130)
  • Win total matchup: Alabama -4.5 wins v. Tennessee (+110)
  • Win total matchup: Louisville +3.5 v. Kentucky (-125)
  • Win total matchup: Minnesota +1 v. Wisconsin
  • Win total matchup: Ole Miss +3.5 v. Mississippi State (-125)
  • Penn State to win the Big 10 (+2500)
  • Georgia to win SEC East (-200)
  • UCF U10 wins (-120)
  • Florida U9 wins (-130)
  • Texas U9.5 wins (-145)
  • Notre Dame U9.5 wins (-130)
  • USF O6.5 wins (+102)
  • Kentucky U6.5 wins (+135)
  • Troy O6.5 (-210)
  • North Carolina U4.5 wins (+145)
  • UTEP U3 wins (+100)
  • Clemson to make CFB Playoff -(400)

Pool Picks

Many have asked for my picks for their college pick’em pools. I am basing these on Office Football Pools, which was the most requested site by readers. I am only showing my picks on games in which my numbers show value against the provided spread. If I don’t list a game, it is safe to say I do not have an opinion on it, so flip a coin. This record will not be tracked and these are not games I am actually wagering. These are intended to help those in a pinch who need to fill out their pools and don’t have much time to do so in a given week.


Bud’s Picks 2019

Wager W | L | P Beat Close?
Wager W | L | P Beat Close?
Florida v. Miami U50.5 W Yes
Arizona v. Hawaii O70 W Even
Arizona at Hawaii +11 W Yes
Utah -5 at BYU W Even
Duke v. Alabama U60.5 W Yes
Oregon v. Auburn U58.5 W Yes
Virginia Tech -2 at BC (-120) L Yes
East Carolina +18 at NC State L Yes
Colorado v. Colorado State U65 L Yes
Oregon v. Auburn -3 W Yes
Texas State +33.5 at Texas A&M L No
Louisiana Tech +21 at Texas L Yes
FIU +3 at Tulane L Even
Tulsa at Michigan State -22.5 L Yes
Clemson -23.5 1H (-107) W Yes
Houston at Oklahoma U82.5 W Yes
Texas A&M at Clemson -20 L No
LSU -3.5 at Texas W Yes
UAB at Akron +11 P Yes
Old Dominion at VT -26 L Yes
Vanderbilt +9 at Purdue L Yes
West Virginia at Missouri -10.5 W Yes
Bowling Green +24 at Kansas State L No
Nebraska -7 (+100) at Colorado L No
Charlotte at App State -20.5 L Yes
Wyoming at Texas State +8.5 L Yes
BYU at Tennessee -2 L Yes
Coastal Carolina +10.5 at Kansas W Yes
Buffalo at Penn State -21 W Yes
UTEP at Texas Tech -33 W Yes
Cal at Washington -11 L Yes
Tulane at Auburn -18.5 L No
La Monroe at FSU -21 L Yes
Nevada +24.5 at Oregon L Yes
Arkansas at Ole Miss -6 W No
Tracking Bud’s bets for 2019.